Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 21.742693 25.182112 28.908800 33.236655 38.113808 43.429136 49.649309
2025-01-26 16.890825 21.885142 27.819770 35.339440 44.556202 55.423956 69.141588
2025-02-02 14.520752 20.527406 28.187479 38.546950 52.047694 68.887703 91.300270
2025-02-09 12.028585 18.357206 26.938147 39.205050 56.032706 78.015373 108.554705
2025-02-16 9.997083 16.357370 25.470305 39.153294 58.780870 85.459221 123.895164
2025-02-23 8.347636 14.579077 23.975688 38.731438 60.766213 91.792046 137.944754
2025-03-02 7.079785 13.147727 22.744308 38.448027 62.769959 98.117895 152.216907
2025-03-09 6.048384 11.913766 21.619615 38.128110 64.576298 104.147639 166.297933
2025-03-16 4.854705 10.189466 19.454458 35.868464 63.108735 105.105225 172.833605
2025-03-23 4.424240 9.767348 19.407377 37.036849 67.100510 114.523857 192.555494
2025-03-30 4.113160 9.517730 19.617796 38.632465 71.866721 125.382548 215.033515
2025-04-06 3.490004 8.541374 18.382247 37.548844 72.018975 128.856373 226.046312
2025-04-13 2.840079 7.421960 16.788749 35.755069 70.986453 130.646565 235.025786
2025-04-20 2.700804 7.404163 17.360140 38.087792 77.483647 145.456291 266.296285
2025-04-27 2.670653 7.632210 18.454700 41.527887 86.242499 164.619122 305.837657
2025-05-04 2.399606 7.231940 18.181576 42.233468 89.989279 175.351294 331.725455
2025-05-11 2.105427 6.711541 17.572545 42.178988 92.268046 183.605909 353.762677
2025-05-18 1.825231 6.164603 16.820855 41.729200 93.713094 190.406586 373.559218
2025-05-25 1.592985 5.695438 16.177021 41.426934 95.396804 197.697168 394.540398
2025-06-01 1.389890 5.261695 15.551391 41.085685 96.950469 204.799526 415.492417
2025-06-08 1.115963 4.538881 14.091151 38.674608 94.005517 203.212296 420.481689
2025-06-15 1.040164 4.431900 14.198467 39.921454 98.860264 216.809547 454.152187
2025-06-22 0.988423 4.394547 14.485722 41.623668 104.807869 232.824718 493.039918